SEC Accuses Goldman Sachs of Investor Fraud

The Securities and Exchange Commission's fraud charges against Goldman Sachs today clearly took the markets by surprise, sending the bank's shares down as much as 15 percent.


GS ChartBeyond Goldman, the damage inflicted on the financial sector has been broad and deep. Deutsche Bank (DB) and JP Morgan Chase (JPM) are taking the biggest hits so far, down more than 7 percent and 4 percent respectively at the time of this writing.
The one beneficiary in all this is American International Group (AIG), which may see some funds returned as a result of the action against Goldman. AIG shares are up 1.6 percent.

The uptrend in the Financial Sector SPDR (XLF) has been broken by today's action. The breakdown below the 10-day moving average, last at $16.57, has snapped the uptrend that was in place since the February lows. A lot now depends on whether the downside continues to accelerate, or moderates, as the trading day continues.

The S&P 500 cannot make headway without the financials continuing to participate in the upside. The index did test down to its 10-day moving average, last at 1195.45. If there is a breakdown and a close below that average, then the uptrend in the index since its February lows will also come to an end.

Markets rarely like surprises, and this one comes just as earnings season unfolds and many stocks had recovered to pre-crash highs. If the bears have a shot at turning the tide, this is their moment.

Knowing When to Sell

This market has been overbought for the past three months. Unless you're Apple or Goldman Sachs, your company probably hasn't increased its earnings with increased revenue. Maintaining profitability by laying people off is only hurting this economy more.

Goldman Sachs' projected year end level for the S&P is 1,150. Let's say that 1,100 is close enough. If you're staying in this market for 50 more points, you're being too greedy. It's time to sell. Get out or buy some puts on the Russel 2000 to hedge your bets.